I don't think it's obvious that the Russians would move en masse to DW, mind. Indeed, the underlying theory of the attacks seems to be that wrecking LJ would cause the Russian blogosphere to disperse and stop being a problem, although that's probably naive and incorrect. I expect that everybody would wind up recollecting *somewhere*, but there are a number of possibilities of where.
But there's certainly a non-trivial chance of the scenario you describe, with ever-widening collateral damage taking down DW shortly after LJ...
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I don't think it's obvious that the Russians would move en masse to DW, mind. Indeed, the underlying theory of the attacks seems to be that wrecking LJ would cause the Russian blogosphere to disperse and stop being a problem, although that's probably naive and incorrect. I expect that everybody would wind up recollecting *somewhere*, but there are a number of possibilities of where.
But there's certainly a non-trivial chance of the scenario you describe, with ever-widening collateral damage taking down DW shortly after LJ...